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>> Market Update

INFORMATION FOR KNOCK U.S. WHERE WE LIVE Updates from the housing market this week presented the forecast for the year. With the factors that affect home affordability at its best over the years, many expecting to increase home Sales in 2011, driven by expected improvements in employment status. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said sales at home for November, a return to growth after a low in July. existing homes are at their strongest pace in sales since the buyer credit Housing Tax expired in April.

NAR chief economist He commented: "The relationship recently between interest rates on mortgages, house prices and household income was most favorable in the case of buying a house since the beginning of the investigation in 1970. Therefore, the market is recovering and that due to an upward trend, the sustainable level Health in 2011. Economists believe that the key to sustaining growth in home sales is the recovery in employment.

However, despite everything that happened in housing in recent years, people want home ownership. A survey in 2010 reported 90% of respondents do not regret buying your current home. Better yet, a recent study revealed that most Fannie Mae Americans strongly desire to own a house and maintain the property. The survey included two people who own homes now and people who rent.

>> Review of last week

TRAVEL FURTHER NORTH … A lot of people with points towards the south come January, but it's always nice to see stock prices to maintain a constant journey north. The stock market indices historically been the main economic indicators, so that the upward trend on Wall Street is good news for us all. Last week the Dow Jones and the broad-based S & P 500 were in the vicinity of 1%, while the Nasdaq composite index rose nearly 2%.

The big focus this week was in December employment. Things are a little stunned Wednesday when the jobs came with ADP increase of 297,000 civilian jobs. But the government's report Friday, which has more influence, calmed things down. This shows the expected increase 103,000 fewer jobs only in general, with the increase of 113,000 private sector jobs. However, in November payroll figures have been revised upward in October, adding 70,000 jobs over the image. Surprisingly, the unemployment rate decreased 9.8% to 9.4%, mainly due to downsizing. The four weeks moving average of weekly jobless fell to its lowest level since July 2008 but still above 400,000. Continuing claims also fell slightly, but remain above 4 million euros.

While the labor market is still recovering in a slow, but thank you God, rhythm, company demonstrated economic strength should ultimately create the jobs we need. Proof of that came from the ISM manufacturing index, which rose to 57.0 in December, and the ISM manufacturing index-no, to 57.1 during the month. Levels above 50 signal economic expansion.

For the week, the Dow Jones up 0.8% to 11,675, the S & P 500 rose 1.1% to 1272, and the Nasdaq rose 1.9%, ending 2703.

Bond prices have been hammered in midweek after the ADP employment figure. But on Friday, when the number of Government occurred in less than expected, bonds recovered slightly. The link FNMA 4.0% at 30 years, we see the week ending where it began, for close at $ 99.18. The average fixed mortgage rate fell slightly depending on the weekly survey by Freddie Mac compliant mortgages. Medium This national investigation is still below where they were at the beginning, 2010, which should contribute to the repossession.

>> The weather this week

WHAT WAY RETAIL? … First, we will see inflation version of the index of wholesale surveillance producer prices on Thursday (PPI) in December, which should show a slight downward trend. Price index Friday (CPI) measure consumer inflation more important situation, which must also be under control. These will be accompanied in retail sales in December, where growth could be slightly lower than last month.

Michigan consumer sentiment is expected to remain stable while manufacturing continues to recover, as measured by industrial production and capacity utilization for December.

>> The calendar of economic indicators Week

Weaker than expected economic data tends to send prices bonds and interest rates, while positive data points for bond prices lower and increasing loan rates.

Economic Calendar for the week of 10 to 14 in

Date (EST) Press Unit and consensus after impact W
January 12 10:30 Crude inventories moderate Th NA 1.8 4.16M
January 13 8:30 409K 420K unemployment 01.08 Petitions moderate Th
January 13 8:30 unemployment claims continued moderate 1.1 4.070M 4.103M Th
January 13 8:30 Index Producer Price (PPI) in December 0.8% 0.7% moderate Th
January 13 8:30 Base PPI in December 0.3% 0.2% Moderate
Novembre January 13 8:30 Trade Balance – $ 40.6B – $ 38.7B moderate F
January 14 8:30 Consumer Price Index (CPI) in December from 0.4% to 0.1% HIGH F
Core CPI January 14 8:30 1 December from 0.1% to 0.1% HIGH F
December 14 8:30 January retail sales 0.7% 0.8% HIGH F
January 14 8:30 Retail Sales ex-auto December 1 0.6% 1.2% HIGH F
14, Jan. 1 Dec. 9:15 Industrial Production 0.4% 0.4% F Moderate
January 14 9:15 Capacity Utilization 75.5% 75.2% December F Moderate
January 14 9:55 January Univ of Michigan consumer confidence 75.0 74.5 F Moderate
January 14 10:00 Stocks Moderate business November 1 0.7% 0.7%

>> See the Federal Reserve

Forecast changes in reserves for federal policy in the coming months with payrolls rose less than expected in December, economists see the Fed funds rate now at its low level really well this year. Inflation sees no signs of a problem in this area so far:. Note: In the table below, a 1% chance of change is an accuracy rate of 99% the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0% -0.25%

After the FOMC meeting on January 26 Consensus 0% 15 0% -0.25% -0.25% March 27 April from 0% -0.25%

Probability of changing the current policy:

After the FOMC meeting: January Consensus <26 March 15 1% <1% April 27 <1%

About the Author

“Your Mortgage Professionals” have over 40 years experience in the residential lending field. We have an up-to-date working knowledge in all phases of the mortgage industry, from processing to underwriting. And, we use that knowledge to ensure that our commitment to serving our customers needs, is always met. Vooris, Lockwood and Burns offers outstanding customer service with a personal touch to both our customers and our agents.

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